The Green Bay Packers drafted Aaron Rodgers the year after Brett Favre threw for more than 4000 yards and 30 TDs.
How’d that work out? Decent QB transition there?
No team is in a better situation to give Tua a “redshirt year” his rookie season than Detroit. Then maybe you trade Stafford after the 2020 season, if he comes back, is healthy, plays well, and re-establishes his value.
Or, maybe you don’t. Maybe you go a second season with Stafford, too, giving Tagovailoa playing time here and there where it makes sense. Maybe it’s that third year where he really pushes for the job.
In this scenario, Stafford has a two-year window in which to (finally) lead Detroit to the promised land. And if he’s fantastic and healthy and looks like he can play until he’s 38, then maybe it’s Tua you sell a couple of years down the road, having given him enough cameo appearances to get other QB-needy GMs drooling.
Alls I’m saying is Stafford will be 32 next season, with an unusual amount of hits and NFL road miles on his body, coming off two straight seasons with broken back issues. Green Bay took Rodgers because he was sliding massively and was such a talent they couldn’t resist. I’d argue the Lions are in more of a position where it makes sense to pick a successor QB than Green Bay was in 2005.
Hip injuries scare me. All of the medicals would have to check out with flying colors. And I know all of the arguments against Tua. Maybe he’s injury-prone and won’t stand up to the NFL beating. Maybe his play is inflated by the ridiculous talent around him. But his highlight reels are dazzling.
I’m probably in agreement with those who are screaming at their computer screens or cell phones at the mere idea of this. The Lions have more immediate needs on defense – though perhaps not a 3rd overall pick-worthy player to take there. We can claim there will be a bidding war for the Lions’ pick, but what if Miami is content to not pay a ransom, sit tight and take whoever they get from Tua or Herbert?
The Lions should, at a minimum, do serious due diligence on Tua and the idea of picking him as the successor to Stafford, near term or a little farther out. But this would require being as courageous and imaginative as Green Bay was back in 2005. And the Lions don’t do courageous and imaginative.