Is there someone in the top 5 the Falcons really really want?

Ben Fawkes
@BFawkesESPN

@mortreport

just said on SportsCenter that the Atlanta Falcons are expected to be aggressive during #NFLDraft and could even move into top 5. Remember: They went from No. 27 all the way up to No. 6 in 2012 to take WR Julio Jones.

Okudah would probably be the apple of their eye.

I want Jessica Alba as my side chick, but like the Falcons, I ain’t got the juice to make that deal happen.

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I don’t know. If we drop down to 6 (meaning the Chargers have traded up for a QB) then maybe the Dolphins kick their QB need back a year rather than pick whoever the Chargers didn’t, in hopes of landing Lawrence or Fields. If that’s the case adding 2021 1st rounders would appeal to them, and the Falcons could offer that.

LOL - I’ve got Scarlett Witch over Invisible Woman 10 times out of 10, bro.

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Depends on what trade value chart you use. Quinn reportedly said that they do not use the Jimmy Johnson model because it was formulated before the rookie wage scale went into effect.

By this model, the Falcons could get into the top 5 by giving up their first three draft picks:

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart-Rich-Hill.asp?RequestTeam=atl

The Honest brand mistress

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They’re probably going after Simmons

The rumor does not include a player, but other rumors indicate the Falcons want to trade up for a corner. Mort only notes that the Falcons should be looking at defense, which could include a few of the draft’s top defensive linemen and linebackers. A trade into the top 5 should get Atlanta the best corner in the draft, believed to be Jeff Okudah, but also puts the team in striking distance of Chase Young and Isaiah Simmons. Such a trade would guarantee C.J. Henderson but it is unclear if he is in any danger of being selected so early.

Sources told ESPN the team has had communication with top cornerback prospects Jeff Okudah from Ohio State, CJ Henderson from Florida and A.J. Terrell from Clemson, with Okudah and Henderson both projected to go higher than the Falcons’ current draft slot. Henderson “talked to the entire organization” in his recent video chat with the team. Okudah is the consensus best cornerback in the group. The Falcons need an immediate starter after releasing former first-round corner Desmond Trufant.

That doesn’t get Atlanta anywhere near the top 5. It might get them to 10.

Being that it’s Atlanta they’re probably looking for ATLiens. Therefore Derrick Brown must be the target since he’s a Big Boi.

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Agreed, along with Okudah or Henderson

Not sure I follow you there. According to the Rich Hill model, their first three picks are equal to 487 points. The Giants pick, at No. 4 overall, is worth 491 points with the Dolphins pick worth 468 points.

I guess my point is that the chart is bogus.
No GM in their right mind would trade #4 for #16, #47 and #78 but it’s Gettleman who usually isn’t in a right mind so he’d probably be stupid enough to do it.

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2020 NFL Draft pick value chart: Using past trades to create blueprint for draft day action

What does it cost to move around the draft? Let’s find out

Fully agree with NYL here. There is no chance of that trade happening. The high picks are just worth too much with the new wage scale.

2020 NFL Draft pick value chart

OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE
1 1000 33 159.67 65 72.45 97 32.88
2 664.56 34 155.78 66 70.69 98 32.08
3 553.80 35 151.98 67 68.96 99 31.29
4 492.27 36 148.27 68 67.28 100 30.53
5 457.93 37 144.65 69 65.64 101 29.79
6 427.97 38 141.13 70 64.04 102 29.06
7 401.85 39 137.68 71 62.48 103 28.35
8 379.10 40 134.33 72 60.95 104 27.66
9 359.34 41 131.05 73 59.47 105 26.98
10 342.23 42 127.85 74 58.02 106 26.33
11 329.06 43 124.74 75 56.60 107 25.68
12 316.41 44 121.69 76 55.22 108 25.06
13 304.24 45 118.73 77 53.87 109 24.45
14 292.54 46 115.83 78 52.56 110 23.85
15 281.29 47 113.00 79 51.28 111 23.27
16 270.47 48 110.25 80 50.03 112 22.70
17 260.06 49 107.56 81 48.81 113 22.15
18 250.06 50 104.94 82 47.62 114 21.61
19 240.44 51 102.38 83 46.46 115 21.08
20 231.20 52 99.88 84 45.32 116 20.57
21 222.30 53 97.44 85 44.22 117 20.06
22 216.88 54 95.07 86 43.14 118 19.57
23 211.59 55 92.75 87 42.09 119 19.10
24 206.43 56 90.49 88 41.06 120 18.63
25 201.40 57 88.28 89 40.06 121 18.18
26 196.48 58 86.13 90 39.08 122 17.82
27 191.69 59 84.02 91 38.13 123 17.47
28 187.02 60 81.98 92 37.20 124 17.13
29 182.46 61 79.98 93 36.29 125 16.79
30 178.00 62 78.03 94 35.41 126 16.46
31 173.66 63 76.12 95 34.54 127 16.14
32 169.43 64 74.27 96 33.70 128 15.82
OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE OVERALL VALUE
129 15.51 161 8.23 193 4.37 225 2.32
130 15.21 162 8.07 194 4.28 226 2.27
131 14.91 163 7.91 195 4.20 227 2.23
132 14.62 164 7.76 196 4.12 228 2.18
133 14.33 165 7.61 197 4.04 229 2.14
134 14.05 166 7.46 198 3.96 230 2.10
135 13.78 167 7.31 199 3.88 231 2.06
136 13.51 168 7.17 200 3.80 232 2.02
137 13.24 169 7.03 201 3.73 233 1.98
138 12.98 170 6.89 202 3.66 234 1.94
139 12.73 171 6.75 203 3.58 235 1.90
140 12.48 172 6.62 204 3.51 236 1.86
141 12.23 173 6.49 205 3.44 237 1.83
142 11.99 174 6.36 206 3.38 238 1.79
143 11.76 175 6.24 207 3.31 239 1.76
144 11.53 176 6.12 208 3.25 240 1.72
145 11.30 177 6.00 209 3.18 241 1.69
146 11.08 178 5.88 210 3.12 242 1.66
147 10.86 179 5.76 211 3.06 243 1.62
148 10.65 180 5.65 212 3.00 244 1.59
149 10.44 181 5.54 213 2.94 245 1.56
150 10.24 182 5.43 214 2.88 246 1.53
151 10.04 183 5.32 215 2.83 247 1.50
152 9.84 184 5.22 216 2.77 248 1.47
153 9.65 185 5.12 217 2.72 249 1.44
154 9.46 186 5.02 218 2.66 250 1.41
155 9.27 187 4.92 219 2.61 251 1.39
156 9.09 188 4.82 220 2.56 252 1.36
157 8.91 189 4.73 221 2.51 253 1.33
158 8.74 190 4.64 222 2.46 254 1.31
159 8.56 191 4.54 223 2.41 255 1.28
160 8.40 192 4.46 224 2.36 256 1.25

I don’t know that the 3rd OA pick is worth roughly half of the Number 1. If the number 1 pick was worth about 750 pts…or even 800 this would look a little better IMO. I reserve the right to be way off tho.

By that more up-to-date chart, the Lions should be happy with Nos. 5, 56 & 141 for No. 3 overall.

Based on this chart, the Lions should expect only #5+#56 from Miami in the event of a trade down which I’d “reluctantly” be ok only because there’s no surefire franchise prospect after Young but in a normal draft year would not be happy with.

Also, according to this chart, it would only cost the Chargers one 2nd rounder to get #3 when the Darnold trade just last year from 6 to 3 cost three 2nds, two of which were high 2nds (way more than Atlanta would give up to move from 16 to 4) so the valuation varies wildly depending on situation.