Sounds like a lot of fans here:
Q: How far down in the first round do you think the Lions would be willing to go in a trade? – @LeeTsports
A: If you talk to people inside the franchise about why things haven’t worked out, there are a few things they’d tell you. One I’ve heard several times is the lack of top-end talent. The Lions have maybe 10 guys they believe they can win consistently with, compared to maybe as many as 40 guys with some of the top-end teams. And there’s only a couple guys in Detroit who are truly playmakers.
All of which is to say: I think they’re going to look for a sensible trade on draft night, but I don’t believe they’ll do it at the expense of drafting a true playmaker. I think that means they’ll be uncomfortable going any deeper than sixth. You have to figure Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert are going somewhere in those top six picks, plus Chase Young. So at sixth, you should still see some combination of Jeff Okudah, Isaiah Simmons and Derrick Brown, and I think the Lions could live with that and whatever picks they add in the deal.
But trading any deeper than sixth is a roll of the dice on losing out on actual difference-makers for the defense, and I believe they’ll be reluctant to do that even if the offer were a good one. Because they need more elite players to have any chance of making this work.
Q: Chances Lions trade down at 3 vs. picking at 3? – @rayray1222
A: 55% they trade down, 45% they stay put. I think they want to trade back, and I think they’ll find a market for the pick if Tua Tagovailoa is still there. So, the odds seem better than even they make a trade. Of course, there’s always the chance Tagovailoa goes in the top two (which is what I’ve projected), in which case they’d absolutely sit on the pick to draft Chase Young.