I believe it could happen next year, but absolutely everything would have to be in alignment.
Don’t take this as any sort of endorsement of the current regime, Patricia most especially. It’s just that with the way that parity is built into the league, all but the very worst teams have a core of players capable of 6-10 wins. It takes a core of ineptitude and dysfunction to be significantly worse than that from a talent standpoint, and I don’t think that the Lions are there.
From there, everything else is based on coaching, aging/injuries, and just plain luck. In any given year, I don’t believe that there’s necessarily a world of difference between a 7 win team and a 9 win team. In 2019, the Lions were on the shit end of the stick with all of those, and they were starting with a below-average roster.
If everything went perfectly, this team could squeak out 10 wins. But it would take the kind of “everything falling into place” type of situation that got Carolina their 15-win season sandwiched between two losing seasons.
I think the odds are a lot closer to the 6-7 wins predicted by Vegas. I see no hope for getting out of that rut until we close the book on the Patricia chapter of Lions history.