I went back and looked at WC qualifiers in the last ten years. We’re actually not in nearly as bad of shape as some here are suggesting IF historical trends are to hold.
In the last 10 seasons, 10-5-1 would have secured a WC 17 out of 20 times. 9-6-1 would have secured a WC spot 10 out of 20 times.
That’s the good news. The bad news is if you simply focus on the NFC over that time span those percentages drop to 80% and 30%.
Nonetheless, if we beat NYG, OAK, TB, WAS, DEN and two of @CHI, DAL, CHI, GB and @MN we are quite likely to make the playoffs based off of historical norms.