I think we are all in agreement if Chase Young is gone…we want to deal the pick.
There are quite a few examples where teams jump to number 2. Wentz, Griffin, Trubisky, etc.
However lets take a look at what is probably the most similar scenario that the Lions will see. That is the Sam Darnold trade.
3 OA (Darnold)
2nd rounder 37 OA
2nd rounder 49 OA
Next year 2nd rounder
So 3 2nd rounders (1 high 2nd) to move up 3 spots.
I think realistically you are looking at the following compensation from these teams. With Quinn in win now mode…they are probably going to look for draft picks this year as they likely won’t want to accept picks down the road.
26 OA (late 1st Rounder)
56 OA (2nd Rounder)
So in this scenario you take 2 of the 2nds from the Darnold deal and they become a late 1st rounder. I don’t think pick 18 is on the table…unless you get this deal:
Nothing else except maybe a swap of late rounders. The Fins obviously have the ammo…but do they want to fire it all?
37 OA (2nd Rounder)
71 OA (3rd Rounder)
112 OA (4th Rounder)
I don’t think the Chargers have a realistic shot of getting the pick unless they throw a hail mary and add in a future first round pick/picks or give us their whole draft. Like I said before with Quinn in win now mode they are not going to be looking for future picks. They will want high picks this year. The Chargers just don’t have the ammo.
38 OA (2nd Rounder)
69 OA (3rd Rounder)
113 OA (4th Rounder)
Insert comment about the Chargers here.
42 OA (2nd Rounder)
118 OA (4th Rounder)
Moving from 3 to 9 is a long way…but i think the 20 and 4th rounder would be sufficient. This one actually has a shot. Maybe Khan wants to make a splash.
80 OA (3rd Rounder)
81 OA (3rd Rounder)
More late round picks
I think this one is also possible and similar to the Jags deal. Maybe swap some more late round picks around. You are obviously moving down farther from 3 to 12…
IMHO i still think the most likely scenario playing out is a team trading up to 2. If you have your mind made up that Tua is your guy…you are calling the Skins to get to 2. It’s not going to cost that much more to get to 2 than 3…so why not just go to 2 and not worry about someone else doing it.
What say you?